Number: 98-783 Title: NAFTA: Estimates of Job Effects and Industry Trade Trends After 5-1/2 Years Authors: Mary Jane Bolle, Economics Division Abstract: During the North American Free Trade Agreement's (NAFTA's) first five and one-half years, it has served primarily to accelerate trade, plant relocation, and sectoral job "gain: and job "loss" trends that were already ongoing. This report documents four and one-half years worth of trends, and includes six tables. They track overall U.S. commodities exports, imports and trade balance; imports and exports by industry; estimates of jobs supporting those exports, by state; and industry import and plant relocation effects translated into potential job losses, both by industry and state. A separate figure shows reemployment experience of displaced workers one to three years later. Pages: 15 Date: December 14, 1999